Secret Mojo Dumbs It Down for You

August 8, 2006

Ceasefire: the whole world minus one

Filed under: Israel/Lebanon,News,Politics,war — secretmojo @ 7:44 pm

There were three, but now there’s one.

It’s a pretty crappy deal for Lebanon, who will now have to face two occupiers instead of one. They’ll be tending to both Hezbollah and Israel. And, if you’ve ever positioned yourself between two brawling guys in a bar, trust me, it’s neither fun nor easy.

Furthermore, I call it a “soft surrender” because it asks nothing of Israel but demands plenty of Lebanon. What do you expect when enemies craft peace agreements?

But I hope Lebanon takes the deal. The future may or may not work itself out, and war may explode again, but Lebanon’s getting UN forces—although Bush would like these forces to do more his bidding than Lebanon’s. And yes, I know, Bush says annoying throwaway words like “As these Lebanese and international forces deploy, the Israeli defense forces will withdraw.” These lying words are clearly not in writing, as they should be if you’re to speak them in the first place. Plus, they sound frighteningly like his highly successful “stand up/stand down” Iraq verbiage that have yet to see reality.

But I hope they take the deal anyways. Negotiate, get a couple of concessions perhaps, but take the deal. Otherwise, it gets worse for everyone, but mostly for Lebanon, who’s enduring a 6:1 kill ratio right now.

I realize the current proposal is “We’ll stop shooting if you do what we say,” but when you’ve got both a ceasefire and international troops to enforce it (sort of), take it. Otherwise, be prepared to defend the existence of your country, because this is an offer you honestly can’t refuse. And the crazies are on the verge of conflating the whole of Lebanon into a terrorist encampment, an idea oddly successful with Iraq. And everybody knows how great that’s going.



  1. I also hope they take the deal.

    Do you prefer the idea of an Israeli withdrawl before the intervention? Or perhaps you’ve developed a plan of your own. If the details of the cease-fire were up to you, what would you change?

    Comment by Aurenande — August 9, 2006 @ 12:01 am | Reply

  2. I would like an Israeli withdrawal eventually, perhaps in some sort of timetable sketched out in the proposal. In reality, Lebanon shouldn’t require a withdrawl as a precondition of the cease-fire; I think that would be a deal breaker. But I hope they’ll be able to get a “promise” of some sort, which then can be revisited later when everybody has cooler heads.

    That’s the immediate future. Further down the road are many items (Sheba farms, landmine maps, etc.), but for now, that’s what I think must be done: Israel promises on paper with a timetable, and Lebanon sends troops to tame Hezbollah based on that promise. Then the hard part begins…

    What’s your view?

    Comment by secretmojo — August 9, 2006 @ 6:40 am | Reply

  3. I’ll be honest and say that I haven’t been keeping up on this one as well as I probably should, so I can’t claim a lot of authority here.

    From what I’ve seen, though; I like your idea. I do think it would impractical to demand Israel to withdraw first thing, but a timetable seems like an excellent idea. Leave too many loopholes, and it’ll spring right back up. Lord willing, some such agreement will be satisfactory to each side.

    Comment by Aurenande — August 9, 2006 @ 10:09 pm | Reply

  4. Agreed.

    Comment by secretmojo — August 9, 2006 @ 10:48 pm | Reply

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